Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 21 Aug 2026, 13:24 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
Koroush AK
@KoroushAK
Listen babe. $BTC is going back to all-time highs. Guaranteed. https://t.co/5Hj5i6i0OrView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,244 at 21 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,277 at 22 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 77277.3 / 77244.23 − 1 = +0.04%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +0.04%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “$BTC is going back to all-time highs.”
- Confidence
- 100%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $77,244
- Evaluation price
- $77,277
- Move
- +0.04%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0