Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 21 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Quoting · 28 Jul 2026, 18:49 UTC · context given to the AI

Fairly strong daily candle on $BTC. I think we'll target $68,000 in early August again, and are likely going to break out of that fairly soon to $75,000+. https://t.co/wOPafm6qB1

It is now at $78,000 per single #Bitcoin and the bear market is most likely over. https://t.co/DwNJlqedC0 https://t.co/VAyWN0hAeP

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“Everybody is getting already excited, while most of the #Altcoins are still on the ground vs. Bitcoin. Imagine what will happen when these start to really turn up.”Repeat21 Aug 2026, 07:44 UTC
“There we go. #Bitcoin has hit this level of liquidity and is absolutely blasting. This is the type of move that you'd want to see to end the bear market. https://t.co/TQdNyvsS0y”Repeat21 Aug 2026, 08:51 UTC
“I'm very happily long on my #Altcoin portfolio with 95%. It's still down a lot, but this market can always show the uno reverse card and go vertical like it does currently. #Bitcoin has seen a tremendous move, which means that liquidity is very likely going to pour into those #Altcoins as most of them have barely made any move yet.”Repeat21 Aug 2026, 10:53 UTC
“#Bitcoin looks great, but I'm looking at lower levels for potential entries. Usually, when volatility picks up and it's as high as it is, the corrections will be relatively violent. I'm looking at <$74,200 for a potential scalp trade back towards the highs. Other than that, <$71,100 seems like an ideal spot. I don't think we'll blast through $80,000 in a single-go as there's the higher timeframe resistance at $83,000 and the 50-Week MA is at $81,500. However, trading will be monumental coming period with this volatility.”Repeat21 Aug 2026, 13:32 UTC
“#Bitcoin is literally making a copy/paste of the 2022 breakout. Massive weekly candle after a period of consolidation and a sweep of the lows. What's next? I think we'll continue for a bit in order to: - Sweep the high at $83,000 confirming the bear market is over. - Test the 50-Week MA. I don't think we'll go through it in one-go, so those areas are technically where you'd want to be taking profits into Bitcoin and wait for slight corrections. Other than that, given the recent massive corrections on #Altcoins and macro changing a lot, it's going to be a lot of fun to hold altcoins.”Repeat21 Aug 2026, 16:06 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “the bear market is most likely over.”
Confidence: 90%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status: unscored
Baseline price: —
Evaluation price: —
Move: —
Neutral threshold: ±1.00%
Price provider: —
Evaluated at: 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version: v1.0

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