Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 21 Aug 2026, 06:53 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
The Crypto Dog 📈
@TheCryptoDog
In reply to · 21 Aug 2026, 04:54 UTC · context given to the AI
@Dior100x fun fact solana:8XtRWb4uAAJFMP4QQhoYYCWR6XXb7ybcCdiqPwz9s5WS will melt faces again soon https://t.co/BNaBUjmA9F@thejpegjunkie @Dior100x Shit isnt over and it barley hasnt even begun.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $90.18 at 21 Aug 2026, 07:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $94.28 at 22 Aug 2026, 07:00 UTC.
r = 94.28 / 90.18 − 1 = +4.55%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +4.55%against a neutral band of ±1.50% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Solana (SOL)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Shit isnt over and it barley hasnt even begun.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $90.18
- Evaluation price
- $94.28
- Move
- +4.55%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.50%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0