Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 21 Aug 2026, 00:36 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
Wendy O
@CryptoWendyO
Quoting · 20 Aug 2026, 23:07 UTC · context given to the AI
JUST IN: Bitcoin spot ETF volume surpasses $5,300,000,000 todayI had a pretty bad week, BUT Bitcoin and Crypto pumping have made it bearable Good things are on the horizon for me and for you too. HIGHER https://t.co/dOUUap4R06 https://t.co/cXFgAGacxRView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $73,682 at 21 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,934 at 22 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC.
r = 77934.35 / 73682.05 − 1 = +5.77%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +5.77%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “HIGHER”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $73,682
- Evaluation price
- $77,934
- Move
- +5.77%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0