Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 20 Aug 2026, 22:23 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Ansem 🐂🀄️
@blknoiz06
Quoting · 16 Jul 2026, 23:31 UTC · context given to the AI
most great traders wait for price to CONFIRM momentum i try to predict the bottom before it's clear the bottom is in. that's the difference by the time sol reclaims 100 and bitcoin reclaims 80K, the easy money's gone https://t.co/Jn6Gp1wQYTimo the MOST mispriced market on polymarket right now: bitcoin above 100K this year, trading at 19% tbh i dont think we hit 100k this year but if btc touches 85k this thing reprices to 40%+ this is an example of "easy money is before it's obvious" https://t.co/9C0w1JZmP5 https://t.co/Vfu5XJopakView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “if btc touches 85k this thing reprices to 40%+”
- Confidence
- 60%
- Review state
- needs review · Low confidence (60%); Unsupported horizon: "this year"
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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