Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 20 Aug 2026, 18:58 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:24 UTC
Ash Crypto
@AshCrypto
ETH is heavily outperforming Bitcoin. Bullish for altcoins 🔥 https://t.co/RcpZFb6hEFView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,316 at 20 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,420 at 21 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 2419.82 / 2315.83 − 1 = +4.49%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +4.49%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “ETH is heavily outperforming Bitcoin. Bullish for altcoins”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $2,316
- Evaluation price
- $2,420
- Move
- +4.49%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0