Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 20 Aug 2026, 16:27 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
$BTC becomes so much more active and fun to trade. On the daytrading side, I'm looking at a few opportunities here. 1 - I'm looking at potential longs between $70,300-70,800 for potential scalps towards the highs. 2 - If that doesn't hold, I'm looking at longs <$68,000 as then I assume we'll have a market wide correction taking place. Overall, markets are bullish, and I think we'll have more fun trading #Altcoins.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $72,809 at 20 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,451 at 21 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 77451.34 / 72808.57 − 1 = +6.38%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +6.38%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “I'm looking at potential longs between $70,300-70,800 for potential scalps towards the highs.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $72,809
- Evaluation price
- $77,451
- Move
- +6.38%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
Request a correction
Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.
Sign in to request a correction