Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 20 Aug 2026, 15:26 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC

The Wolf Of All Streets

@scottmelker

Quoting · 20 Aug 2026, 13:03 UTC · context given to the AI

Bitcoin EXPLODES to $72K as Record $3B Shorts Get WIPED https://t.co/oGji57rmWd
Mark Yusko says we'll get one more dump before the pump, and it'll be the most painful "The only reason I say we're not out of the woods, and I don't want to end on a downer note, but in every four year cycle in history, the last month before the pump we have one last cathartic dump" "So that would be September" "And the most painful"
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▼ Bearish
Intent
explicit
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“Mark Yusko says we'll get one more dump before the pump, and it'll be the most painful "The only reason I say we're not out of the woods, and I don't want to end on a downer note, but in every four year cycle in history, the last month before the pump we have one last cathartic dump" "So that would be September" "And the most painful"”
Confidence
70%
Review state
needs review · Low confidence (70%); Unsupported horizon: "September"; Evidence not found in post
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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