Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 20 Aug 2026, 13:22 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Ansem 🐂🀄️
@blknoiz06
In reply to · 20 Aug 2026, 13:22 UTC · context given to the AI
Mark Walter basically showed the private credit Ponzi game is ending People finally admitting AI doesn't drive productivity or GDP growth Dario Amodei is becoming the most hated man in America, and his last ditch effort was to claim he could solve cancer. Then we solved cancer without him. US30y complete retrace of yield curve control attempt Thiel hiding out in Argentina Different game developing@based16z the system's fugazi the ai overlords are fake and the denominator is worthless, buy btcView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $71,650 at 20 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,244 at 21 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 77244.23 / 71649.71 − 1 = +7.81%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +7.81%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “buy btc”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $71,650
- Evaluation price
- $77,244
- Move
- +7.81%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0