Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 20 Aug 2026, 13:07 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
Wendy O
@CryptoWendyO
In reply to · 20 Aug 2026, 12:38 UTC · context given to the AI
@CryptoWendyO waking up to solana at 87$ sweet feeling.@gem_ilm I can’t wait until $100View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $86.49 at 20 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $91.03 at 21 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 91.03 / 86.49 − 1 = +5.25%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +5.25%against a neutral band of ±1.50% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Solana (SOL)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “I can’t wait until $100”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $86.49
- Evaluation price
- $91.03
- Move
- +5.25%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.50%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0