Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 20 Aug 2026, 08:16 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:24 UTC
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Same 24h episode
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
- “Before you get giga bullish, please read this. Bitcoin pumped +15% in the last 4 days, flipping short-term momentum ultra-bullish, but this does not fully cancel the risk of a Q4 correction and bottom. 1. Why this is the first real reversal sign -BTC reclaimed its weekly MA 200 -Bullish RSI divergence & MACD crossover - Macro conditions are bullish with Core inflation at 5-year lows and ISM at a 4-year high. - Russell 2000 is hitting new highs ( historically leading indicator for crypto ) 2. The warning In July–August 2022, BTC rallied +40% with identical metrics before violently dropping -22% in a single week of November and printing new lows. 3. Conclusion Short-term momentum has clearly shifted bullish, but the larger trend structure has not fully flipped yet. Holding above $67K keeps the recovery intact; losing it would mean the breakout was a fakeout.”Repeat20 Aug 2026, 16:01 UTC
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “71,000 US DOLLARS FOR 1 BITCOIN”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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