Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 20 Aug 2026, 07:21 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
il Capo
@CryptoCapo_
Quoting · 26 Jun 2026, 08:16 UTC · context given to the AI
$60k tested again. Just like the cycle top in October [https://t.co/Lm0RRQXrLp], with a triple tap at 123k... ...an important local bottom could be forming here, with a triple tap at 60k. First bullish confirmation above 66k, second above 82k. Good times ahead imo. https://t.co/EY4vkn57mn https://t.co/qW2Gxd1fC1The crypto market is finally starting to show strength. We just saw the first bullish confirmation, with $BTC reclaiming $66k and even touching $70k. Altcoins looking strong too, led by $ETH. Much higher imo. https://t.co/eS8eSuE2I5View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $69,784 at 20 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,287 at 21 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC.
r = 76287.21 / 69783.62 − 1 = +9.32%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +9.32%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Much higher imo.”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $69,784
- Evaluation price
- $76,287
- Move
- +9.32%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0