Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 20 Aug 2026, 00:13 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
Wendy O
@CryptoWendyO
Quoting · 19 Aug 2026, 00:27 UTC · context given to the AI
I'm bull posting now until crypto gets fully absorbed. $BTC can go to $50,000, and I will still bull post I do not think you understand what the SEC just did and how hard we are going to print Be smart and calculated; make a bag I'm also done being nice and polite. https://t.co/AL5iAEhws7 https://t.co/6se4r19CDVIt would actually be so funny if Bitcoin did this and then everything nuked and then people got emotional and then we ran hard again and then the same people got emotional Like just chill and DCA Bitcoin and certain majors. https://t.co/1MPNrq8Uq1View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $69,391 at 20 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $73,682 at 21 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC.
r = 73682.05 / 69390.57 − 1 = +6.18%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +6.18%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Like just chill and DCA Bitcoin and certain majors.”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $69,391
- Evaluation price
- $73,682
- Move
- +6.18%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0