Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 19 Aug 2026, 21:08 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
K A L E O
@CryptoKaleo
Quoting · 19 Aug 2026, 17:27 UTC · context given to the AI
JUST IN: Tom Lee's 'BitMine' is up ~$1,000,000,000 todayethereum:native / bitcoin:native The Ethereum / Bitcoin ratio just broke out of a downtrend dating back to the summer of 2017. Pretty damn bullish for alts. https://t.co/4ejxKQjXMI https://t.co/lFWlqOsDyeView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,285 at 19 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,318 at 20 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC.
r = 2318.45 / 2285.31 − 1 = +1.45%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +1.45%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Pretty damn bullish for alts.”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $2,285
- Evaluation price
- $2,318
- Move
- +1.45%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0