Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 19 Aug 2026, 20:23 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:16 UTC
Altcoin Daily
@AltcoinDaily
bitcoin:native is EXPLODING!! 🚀 https://t.co/L2klWTDyJgView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $69,034 at 19 Aug 2026, 21:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $72,660 at 20 Aug 2026, 21:00 UTC.
r = 72660.23 / 69033.59 − 1 = +5.25%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +5.25%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “bitcoin:native is EXPLODING!!”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $69,034
- Evaluation price
- $72,660
- Move
- +5.25%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0