Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 19 Aug 2026, 15:13 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC

The Wolf Of All Streets

@scottmelker

Quoting · 19 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC · context given to the AI

Bitcoin’s 11-Month Correction Could FINALLY Be Ending https://t.co/2ZfUyXIm0e
OKX Europe CEO Erald Ghoos on when he expects capital to rotate back into crypto "We've seen quite a bit of capital outflow from the crypto market because of the semiconductors, because of AI, because of SpaceX. That was quite a bit of a shift out of a market that was already under pressure, towards the middle of the bear market we're in now" "I do believe there are still quite a few highly anticipated IPOs, the OpenAI, the Anthropic, that might come later this year or early next year, for which there might still be some capital staying in the traditional stock markets" "Maybe shortly after that, I predict quite a bit of the capital might flow back into digital assets, because right now the stock market is quite unprecedented in terms of the all time highs and numbers we're seeing" "So I do expect that somewhere October-ish or November-ish, we probably see quite a bit of a change and move back into the crypto market"
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
explicit
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“So I do expect that somewhere October-ish or November-ish, we probably see quite a bit of a change and move back into the crypto market”
Confidence
70%
Review state
needs review · Low confidence (70%); Unsupported horizon: "October-ish or November-ish"
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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