Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 18 Aug 2026, 20:05 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:24 UTC
Ash Crypto
@AshCrypto
BULLISH: Whales have bought $2.64 BILLION worth of $BTC in last 2 months. Big money is buying the dip. https://t.co/CoC3IejmjXView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,538 at 18 Aug 2026, 21:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $69,034 at 19 Aug 2026, 21:00 UTC.
r = 69033.59 / 64538.48 − 1 = +6.97%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +6.97%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “BULLISH: Whales have bought $2.64 BILLION worth of $BTC in last 2 months.”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $64,538
- Evaluation price
- $69,034
- Move
- +6.97%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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