Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 18 Aug 2026, 13:24 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:35 UTC
Anthony Pompliano 🌪
@APompliano
The discount to NAV is a combination of our outstanding convert, the large amount of bitcoin on our balance sheet, and the market’s lack of understanding about Silvia’s growth and expenses. Wall Street is too short-term optimized. If we build a good company, the discount will disappear. Patience is a virtue for a reason.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “If we build a good company, the discount will disappear.”
- Confidence
- 60%
- Review state
- needs review · Low confidence (60%)
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0