Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 17 Aug 2026, 21:49 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:16 UTC
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Same 24h episode
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
- “Anthony Scaramucci: "Bitcoin is in the tightest volatility band that it's been in in the last five years so it really hasn't moved much at all." "I think you'll see #bitcoin move back over $100k. But it's gonna grind for a while, Andrew. People don't like it." https://t.co/2AgYuQYWBN”Repeat18 Aug 2026, 15:39 UTC
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Today, it's good to be in Bitcoin. 📈”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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