Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 17 Aug 2026, 16:44 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
To be honest, the daily chart of $ETH starts to look better day after day. This is generally how I'm viewing the current market on $ETH. ▫️ There are many liquidity levels beneath us on the long side, meaning that it's very likely that we'll drop fast if $ETH loses $1,870. What am I expecting then? Potentially sub $1,700 before we'll bounce back up. ▫️ However, given the current construction, higher highs and higher lows, it's more likely that a break upwards is going to happen and that triggers some important levels. If $2,000 is clearly a breakthrough, I don't think we'll stall, it could be a violent move just like we've seen earlier in 2025. It could stall briefly at $2,200 as a mid-level, but overall I'm expecting to see a run towards $2,800.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,905 at 17 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,917 at 18 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 1917.39 / 1905.41 − 1 = +0.63%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +0.63%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “overall I'm expecting to see a run towards $2,800.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $1,905
- Evaluation price
- $1,917
- Move
- +0.63%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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