Prediction evidence

neutralPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 17 Aug 2026, 16:44 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

To be honest, the daily chart of $ETH starts to look better day after day. This is generally how I'm viewing the current market on $ETH. ▫️ There are many liquidity levels beneath us on the long side, meaning that it's very likely that we'll drop fast if $ETH loses $1,870. What am I expecting then? Potentially sub $1,700 before we'll bounce back up. ▫️ However, given the current construction, higher highs and higher lows, it's more likely that a break upwards is going to happen and that triggers some important levels. If $2,000 is clearly a breakthrough, I don't think we'll stall, it could be a violent move just like we've seen earlier in 2025. It could stall briefly at $2,200 as a mid-level, but overall I'm expecting to see a run towards $2,800.
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

  1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,905 at 17 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
  2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,917 at 18 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
  3. r = 1917.39 / 1905.41 − 1 = +0.63%
  4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.63% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Ethereum (ETH)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
explicit
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“overall I'm expecting to see a run towards $2,800.”
Confidence
80%
Review state
auto accepted
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
neutral
Baseline price
$1,905
Evaluation price
$1,917
Move
+0.63%
Neutral threshold
±1.25%
Price provider
coinbase
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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