Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 17 Aug 2026, 15:59 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
Quoting · 17 Aug 2026, 13:52 UTC · context given to the AI
That's a new range unlocked for #Bitcoin as it's currently trading around the areas of $63.6K. Actual volatility starts to kick in when there's a drop <$63,200 and a break above $64,000. https://t.co/XzEsWC1iIaIn reply to · 17 Aug 2026, 15:55 UTC · context given to the AI
@CryptoMichNL Yeah classic crypto influencer changing mind every 5minutes. Lol https://t.co/Zp6kT7BXQF@heyowlz Definitely not posted about the TA today at all + it dipped after that, not as far as I expected. Post 1: https://t.co/mIurXCS1uA Post 2: https://t.co/UqLpQNeisB Post 3: https://t.co/CoU27g7Fdk And yet, it goes to $65,000 most likely.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Same 24h episode
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
- “This is what is required for #Bitcoin to trend higher, as it tested that $63,300 area and quickly got bought up. Great signs. A revisit of that area would be weakness, and I'm personally not expecting to see lower numbers. In this aspect, I honestly expect to see that continuation towards $65,000 taking place here.”Repeat17 Aug 2026, 12:12 UTC
- “Ladies and gentlemen, It's time to be getting excited about the markets again. #Bitcoin is about to hit $65,000.”Repeat17 Aug 2026, 15:54 UTC
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “And yet, it goes to $65,000 most likely.”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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