Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 17 Aug 2026, 03:14 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC

The Wolf Of All Streets

@scottmelker

Quoting · 16 Aug 2026, 17:06 UTC · context given to the AI

I Spent 15,000 Hours Trying to KILL Bitcoin | @JeffBooth 00:00 Jeff Booth's Core Thesis Hasn't Changed 03:18 Why Free Markets Are Naturally Deflationary 06:23 Why Current System Can't Survive Deflation 11:19 AI Is Accelerating the Shift Toward Abundance 14:42 Why Bitcoin Is the Exit From the Current System 17:02 Bitcoin's Bear Market, Coldcard Exploit & BIP-110 25:15 Bitcoin's Base Layer Should Stay Narrow 27:19 Is Bitcoin Still Decentralized and Secure? 34:31 The Problem With Bitcoin Treasury Companies 36:20 Why Bitcoin Yield Could Be a Trap 38:09 Building a New Financial System Around Bitcoin 43:36 How Orange Juice Uses Cash Flow to Buy Bitcoin 45:30 What Happens to Bitcoin Treasury Companies? 48:37 The Hidden Risk of Leverage Around Bitcoin 56:17 What a System Based on Truth Looks Like 57:31 How Bitcoin Adoption Happens From Here 58:12 Why Bitcoin Adoption Will Be Messy 59:09 Moving Your Time and Energy Into Bitcoin 1:01:36 Why Bitcoin's Privacy Problem Is Being Solved 1:01:57 Final Thoughts
Jeff Booth says Strategy's future depends on Bitcoin becoming a currency "For Strategy to do well long term, the yin and yang has to happen together. Bitcoin needs to be a currency. If it's just this financial instrument, then ultimately Strategy would probably be taken over by the government, if the underlying asset is the thing" "Maybe that happens, maybe it doesn't happen, but I don't actually think that happens. There's a way it won't, because Bitcoin's emerging as a currency" "If Bitcoin emerges as a currency, then Strategy becomes one of the most valuable companies around, because they went there early"
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
inferred
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“If Bitcoin emerges as a currency, then Strategy becomes one of the most valuable companies around”
Confidence
70%
Review state
needs review · Low confidence (70%)
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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