Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 14 Aug 2026, 00:05 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
K A L E O
@CryptoKaleo
In reply to · 30 Jul 2026, 17:20 UTC · context given to the AI
Crypto Kaleo be like Bitcoin is going to 40k tomorrow but buy my shit ass Robinhood meme that’s going to 2 trillion by tonight (of course with a wonderfully accurate fractal attached)@Bullbearsaur So far so good at least on the Robinhood side brother Bitcoin nextView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,480 at 14 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,951 at 15 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC.
r = 62950.72 / 63480.15 − 1 = -0.83%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -0.83%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Bitcoin next”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $63,480
- Evaluation price
- $62,951
- Move
- -0.83%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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