Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 13 Aug 2026, 11:54 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:24 UTC
Ash Crypto
@AshCrypto
HUGE: $2.3 Trillion Norway's Sovereign Fund bought $88 million worth of $BMNR. Bullish for Ethereum. https://t.co/yPIRSkorRSView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,878 at 13 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,876 at 14 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC.
r = 1876.42 / 1878.36 − 1 = -0.10%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -0.10%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Bullish for Ethereum.”
- Confidence
- 100%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $1,878
- Evaluation price
- $1,876
- Move
- -0.10%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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