Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 12 Aug 2026, 20:40 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
K A L E O
@CryptoKaleo
Quoting · 12 Aug 2026, 17:37 UTC · context given to the AI
Only 270 Cash Cats NFTs to a 0.75 ETH floor gl & godspeed (also what do y'all think of the terminal I've been building?) https://t.co/PWJQPr7wteThe same people that faded Cash Cats NFTs at .02 ETH and are complaining today about missing out on a 10x will be the ones complaining on the timeline next week about fading them at 0.2 ETH and missing out on a 10x to 2 ETH. Some people are born to repeat the same mistakes over and over again.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,885 at 12 Aug 2026, 21:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $2,218 at 19 Aug 2026, 21:00 UTC.
r = 2217.65 / 1884.59 − 1 = +17.67%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +17.67%against a neutral band of ±3.00% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 7 days (stated in post)
- Evidence span
- “The same people that faded Cash Cats NFTs at .02 ETH and are complaining today about missing out on a 10x will be the ones complaining on the timeline next week about fading them at 0.2 ETH and missing out on a 10x to 2 ETH.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $1,885
- Evaluation price
- $2,218
- Move
- +17.67%
- Neutral threshold
- ±3.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
