Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 12 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
$SOL continues to show strength against #Bitcoin and I assume that we're done with the correction. Matter of time until this one continues to break out upwards and puts in a new rally. https://t.co/xRYOHtufESView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $76.69 at 12 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76.09 at 13 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 76.09 / 76.69 − 1 = -0.78%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -0.78%against a neutral band of ±1.50% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Solana (SOL)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Matter of time until this one continues to break out upwards and puts in a new rally.”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $76.69
- Evaluation price
- $76.09
- Move
- -0.78%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.50%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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