Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 11 Aug 2026, 17:07 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:24 UTC
Ash Crypto
@AshCrypto
Altcoin market cap is testing a 1,000-day support zone at $150 Billion to $160 Billion. If this level breaks, the total alts market could fall towards $136B - $100B and alts will drop 30%-50% on average. Right now BTC is testing the weekly MA 200 while alts sit on multi-year support. Historically, crypto has had one final capitulation before every bull run. The next potential cycle low will be around October 2026 and this could be the last shakeout before the next bullrun.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “The next potential cycle low will be around October 2026 and this could be the last shakeout before the next bullrun.”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- needs review · Low confidence (70%); Unsupported horizon: "October 2026"
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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