Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 11 Aug 2026, 01:35 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Ansem 🐂🀄️
@blknoiz06
In reply to · 11 Aug 2026, 00:59 UTC · context given to the AI
@blknoiz06 but majors need to wake up somewhat. Onchain with sol at 150 will be much better than sol at 75 I’m concerned that may not happen for a while and we chop chopi actually dont think they do tbh, it would be much better if sol was 2x higher from here yes but if retail numbers on mobile apps are skyrocketing there is a very high chance they completely bypass buying majors altogether and go direct to buying onchain coins what happened in 2020 when defi popped off, none of the new guys cared about bitcoin at all & went straight to buying eth & uniswap now we have majors abstracted away & its easy for ppl to buy directly with cash, easy to reason through a scenario where majors are sideways for an extended period of low volatility while most of the action is onchain what gives even more credence to this idea is btc going down on the year while hype 4x'd, good coins got bid while majors got wrecked, can & will happen againView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Solana (SOL)
- Direction
- ▼ Bearish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “easy to reason through a scenario where majors are sideways for an extended period of low volatility”
- Confidence
- 60%
- Review state
- needs review · Low confidence (60%); Unsupported horizon: "extended period"
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.50%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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