Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 10 Aug 2026, 18:44 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

In reply to · 10 Aug 2026, 14:16 UTC · context given to the AI

$ETH is about to show the bulls what 4 year cycle failure looks like: https://t.co/YzbNKL4VLn
@camelfinance $450 dollar per $ETH? Well, I think we're closer to the bottom than I previously imagined.
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Ethereum (ETH)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
inferred
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“Well, I think we're closer to the bottom than I previously imagined.”
Confidence
70%
Review state
auto accepted
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.25%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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