Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 10 Aug 2026, 15:03 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC

The Wolf Of All Streets

@scottmelker

Quoting · 10 Aug 2026, 13:03 UTC · context given to the AI

Bitcoin Is Setting Up For A BREAKOUT - $853m Just Flooded Into ETFs https://t.co/QcPQgMp4bY
David Duong on when he thinks Bitcoin buyers come back "How do we time when to get into Bitcoin, when does it come back? We're in the summer doldrums, liquidity isn't great right now. Probably this drags on another 4 to 6 weeks, that's my guess" "That puts us sometime in September, which also puts us before that 10/10 event from 2025" "I think that's the sweet spot for people to start accumulating Bitcoin again and coming back"
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
inferred
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“I think that's the sweet spot for people to start accumulating Bitcoin again and coming back”
Confidence
70%
Review state
needs review · Low confidence (70%); Unsupported horizon: "sometime in September"
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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