Prediction evidence
incorrectPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 10 Aug 2026, 14:54 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:35 UTC
Anthony Pompliano 🌪
@APompliano
AI is offense, bitcoin is defense. Bitcoin is the best defense against money printer and now Silvia’s AI is the best AI product at handling tax-related topics. I enjoyed explaining to @Varneyco this morning. Check out: https://t.co/587F3GzJzR https://t.co/uSy3iCl3z1View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,563 at 10 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,714 at 11 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 63713.96 / 64562.9 − 1 = -1.31%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -1.31%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Bitcoin is the best defense against money printer”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- incorrect
- Baseline price
- $64,563
- Evaluation price
- $63,714
- Move
- -1.31%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0