Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 9 Aug 2026, 12:14 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $76.30 at 9 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76.58 at 10 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 76.58 / 76.3 − 1 = +0.37%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +0.37%against a neutral band of ±1.50% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Solana (SOL)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “solana looks great”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $76.30
- Evaluation price
- $76.58
- Move
- +0.37%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.50%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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