Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 8 Aug 2026, 21:47 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
It's the same view on $ETH. Nothing has changed, despite a liquidity sweep earlier today. It's stuck between $1,800-2,000. If $2,000 breaks upwards, we're likely going to see a very strong breakout. The volatility is the lowest it's been in recent years. https://t.co/PDk1F4HMkxView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Same 24h episode
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
- “There we go. The date is now set for the Clarity Act to be voted on in the United States. A little more than a month away. What does that mean? Very likely we'll see a run upwards with a lot of hype on #DeFi, $ETH and other US based protocols. 'Buy the rumor, sell the news' type of event.”Repeat9 Aug 2026, 08:58 UTC
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “If $2,000 breaks upwards, we're likely going to see a very strong breakout.”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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