Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 7 Aug 2026, 15:19 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
K A L E O
@CryptoKaleo
I think we see one last leg down for $ETH. HERE’S WHY THAT’S A GOOD THING IF YOU’RE ACTUALLY BULLISH: https://t.co/dUKFIUUG1VView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,917 at 7 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,921 at 8 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
r = 1921.23 / 1916.7 − 1 = +0.24%- Direction d = −1 (bearish), so
d × r = -0.24%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▼ Bearish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “I think we see one last leg down for $ETH.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $1,917
- Evaluation price
- $1,921
- Move
- +0.24%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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