Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 7 Aug 2026, 14:45 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:25 UTC
Ash Crypto
@AshCrypto
🇺🇸 President Trump says people are paying with Bitcoin, which takes a lot of pressure off our US dollar. You are not bullish enough on crypto. https://t.co/dMh0dMF9QNView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,907 at 7 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $65,083 at 8 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 65082.74 / 64906.86 − 1 = +0.27%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +0.27%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “You are not bullish enough on crypto.”
- Confidence
- 100%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $64,907
- Evaluation price
- $65,083
- Move
- +0.27%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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