Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 6 Aug 2026, 22:50 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:17 UTC
Altcoin Daily
@AltcoinDaily
All Hell Is Breaking Loose (CLARITY Act) 0:32 - Crypto Debate in Senate 3:07 - @flapdotsh partner 3:45 - Elizabeth Warren “24 hours” 4:36 - Tim Scott “We'll stay later” 6:01 - Andrew Cuomo “it will pass” 8:54 - Tom Lee " $ETH will boom” Crypto is about to have a HUGE 24 Hours: https://t.co/MOVRHq7fb1View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,904 at 6 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,914 at 7 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC.
r = 1913.99 / 1903.64 − 1 = +0.54%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +0.54%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Tom Lee " $ETH will boom””
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $1,904
- Evaluation price
- $1,914
- Move
- +0.54%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
Request a correction
Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.
Sign in to request a correction