Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 5 Aug 2026, 15:39 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
In reply to · 5 Aug 2026, 15:15 UTC · context given to the AI
S&P 500 hit a new ATH. Dow hit a new ATH. Russell hit a new ATH. Which asset will hit a new ATH next?@TedPillows $ETH before #BitcoinView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Same 24h episode
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
- “Ladies and gentlemen, It is time. $ETH is breaking out and it’s time for the crypto bull market.”Repeat5 Aug 2026, 18:31 UTC
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “$ETH before #Bitcoin”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
Request a correction
Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.
Sign in to request a correction