Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 4 Aug 2026, 21:19 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
Very simple: $ETH holds a crucial support level at $1,800. What does that mean? A breakout to $2,000+ is simply on the horizon, and I think we'll see $2,300-2,500. https://t.co/EjGHRoZCVxView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,871 at 4 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,907 at 5 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC.
r = 1906.92 / 1870.69 − 1 = +1.94%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +1.94%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “A breakout to $2,000+ is simply on the horizon, and I think we'll see $2,300-2,500.”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $1,871
- Evaluation price
- $1,907
- Move
- +1.94%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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