Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 3 Aug 2026, 17:36 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:25 UTC
Ash Crypto
@AshCrypto
$BTC reclaims $64,000. $ETH reclaims $1,850. $95 MILLION+ shorts liquidated in 4 hours. https://t.co/asUiHn7fT1View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,867 at 3 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,868 at 4 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 1868.04 / 1867.13 − 1 = +0.05%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +0.05%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “$ETH reclaims $1,850.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $1,867
- Evaluation price
- $1,868
- Move
- +0.05%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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