Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 3 Aug 2026, 15:18 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
Quoting · 2 Aug 2026, 19:43 UTC · context given to the AI
My expectations are that we're likely: - Seeing a Monday dump on the markets just like any case. - Start trending upwards from Tuesday on as the interventions in the Yen proceed and the Dollar continues to weaken. If there are any cases of a Clarity Act approval, we're likely going to see a strong rally on $ETH and #Altcoins going forward, that's the bonus.There we go. ✅ Dump happened as a start of the week for #Bitcoin. ✅ Immediate response back upwards and the trend upwards has started. No need to overcomplicate things. https://t.co/jpTbnQurEEView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Same 24h episode
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
- “The lowest sentiment I've ever seen on #Bitcoin and positions are the most net negative on #Bitcoin this cycle too. That means: if the breakout above $67,000-68,000 does happen, I'd assume we're going to see a strong and vital move as most positions will be squeezed out (shorts) or liquidated, accelerating the move upwards.”Repeat2 Aug 2026, 20:26 UTC
- “Monday dump is happening on #Bitcoin. Probably we’ll go slightly lower and then we’ll turn back upwards. https://t.co/ChRN1HbIgd”Repeat3 Aug 2026, 08:34 UTC
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Immediate response back upwards and the trend upwards has started.”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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