Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 3 Aug 2026, 14:45 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:31 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
Quoting · 3 Aug 2026, 13:03 UTC · context given to the AI
Bitcoin BELOW $63K As Trump Halts Iran Strikes And Oil Crashes 9% https://t.co/gHl2EDEIDKKyle Reidhead says why buy crypto when the stock market looks this good "I just think we're in the best earnings season we've been in in years. I don't see a reason for the stock market to go a lot lower than it already has. We've kind of completed a big correction, and I think we're going to have a great end to the year" "I agree crypto probably doesn't go along with it, because it's just too much competition. If there's this much money going into the stock market and the earnings are this good, why would I buy crypto assets that have no growth? Stablecoins haven't grown since October" "There's just not a lot of things happening in the crypto world, so I don't really see that having a big moment. But I do think the stock market will do extremely well"View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▼ Bearish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “I don't really see that having a big moment.”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- needs review · Low confidence (70%)
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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