Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 3 Aug 2026, 14:36 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:31 UTC

The Wolf Of All Streets

@scottmelker

Quoting · 3 Aug 2026, 13:03 UTC · context given to the AI

Bitcoin BELOW $63K As Trump Halts Iran Strikes And Oil Crashes 9% https://t.co/gHl2EDEIDK
Dave explains why Ethereum has been holding up against Bitcoin lately "Crypto has been in a ridiculous bear market since October, so we're coming up on 10 months now. Bitcoin bottomed, a lot of other cryptos haven't, and that dichotomy is there" "We saw a rally of Ethereum versus Bitcoin last week, it bounced off the 0.03 level and it's now 0.029 and a half or below. Why does this matter?" "It's because Tom Lee has been buying while Saylor's been selling, and that's probably the biggest reason for that. Liquidity does tend to trump things"
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Ethereum (ETH)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
inferred
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“We saw a rally of Ethereum versus Bitcoin last week”
Confidence
60%
Review state
needs review · Low confidence (60%)
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.25%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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