Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 3 Aug 2026, 13:48 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:31 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
Quoting · 3 Aug 2026, 13:03 UTC · context given to the AI
Bitcoin BELOW $63K As Trump Halts Iran Strikes And Oil Crashes 9% https://t.co/gHl2EDEIDKMike McGlone says treasuries will be the best performing asset this year "What I think is happening in metals now is very similar to what I've seen in crypto for almost a year now. People keep fighting the trade. 2025 was the best year ever for these non-income producing assets, for that whole narrative of unstoppable deficit spending, but markets lead narratives and then they shift" "That's why I still think bottom line, this year the best performing assets will be treasuries" "Anybody who's been selling risk like gold, silver and Bitcoin on rallies and going over to treasuries is doing fine. What's going to happen in the next few months, that's the big thing, that's what's going to really matter"View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▼ Bearish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Anybody who's been selling risk like gold, silver and Bitcoin on rallies and going over to treasuries is doing fine.”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- needs review · Low confidence (70%)
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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