Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 3 Aug 2026, 13:48 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:31 UTC

The Wolf Of All Streets

@scottmelker

Quoting · 3 Aug 2026, 13:03 UTC · context given to the AI

Bitcoin BELOW $63K As Trump Halts Iran Strikes And Oil Crashes 9% https://t.co/gHl2EDEIDK
Mike McGlone says treasuries will be the best performing asset this year "What I think is happening in metals now is very similar to what I've seen in crypto for almost a year now. People keep fighting the trade. 2025 was the best year ever for these non-income producing assets, for that whole narrative of unstoppable deficit spending, but markets lead narratives and then they shift" "That's why I still think bottom line, this year the best performing assets will be treasuries" "Anybody who's been selling risk like gold, silver and Bitcoin on rallies and going over to treasuries is doing fine. What's going to happen in the next few months, that's the big thing, that's what's going to really matter"
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▼ Bearish
Intent
inferred
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“Anybody who's been selling risk like gold, silver and Bitcoin on rallies and going over to treasuries is doing fine.”
Confidence
70%
Review state
needs review · Low confidence (70%)
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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