Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 2 Aug 2026, 14:28 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
This is the most important chart to monitor, as the United States and Japan have partnered up in strengthening the Yen. If the Dollar continues to fall, and the Yen continues to strengthen, there's a stronger case of money flowing out of government bonds into other assets as there's a risk of holding the Dollar vs. the previous period. That results into risk-on assets turn up to do well, like #Bitcoin.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Same 24h episode
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
- “We've had a casual end of month correction on Friday for #Bitcoin. Most likely we'll see a slight push upwards during the weekend, to end up by a standard Monday crash and then we return back towards an upwards momentum. If $ETH manages to hold above $1,800 and grinds towards $1,900, the bollinger bands are squeezing. The volatility on the markets are the lowest in years, meaning that the next move is a vital one and is one to be positioned on. I don't think we'll see that breakdown, unless Bitcoin breaks $60,000. If we don't, then my upwards target remains to be $83,000.”Repeat1 Aug 2026, 16:21 UTC
- “This resonates entirely with the last bear market in 2019. In that period, #Crypto was a complete ghosttown. Questions being asked: 'Do we still have a purpose with tokens and crypto?' The same questions are being asked right now. Yes, there will always be narratives, and there will be better versions of previous versions. As long as our financial system is corrupt, faulty and manipulated, the desire to build tokenized systems that are better will remain. The amount of people building in the ecosystem has grown, so it's just a matter of time before prices are picking up.”Repeat1 Aug 2026, 17:23 UTC
- “Funny enough: - Saturday dump - Sunday pump Probably a slight correction at Monday open and then we’ll resume with up only on #Bitcoin https://t.co/pvwUx8shvx”Repeat2 Aug 2026, 07:24 UTC
- “It would be great if #Bitcoin can indeed hold above $60,000-61,000 and turn the MACD and RSI back upwards. In that case; new rally imminent and $80,000-83,000 remains a potential target. https://t.co/VNG2YBPe0w”Repeat2 Aug 2026, 13:26 UTC
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “That results into risk-on assets turn up to do well, like #Bitcoin.”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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