Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 31 Jul 2026, 17:41 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
Quoting · 30 Jul 2026, 14:30 UTC · context given to the AI
The previous time that the Nasdaq bounced upwards from the lows resulted into the recent rally of #Bitcoin from $66,000 to $83,000. I think we're close to a similar situation where then Nasdaq is likely to bounce upwards and #Bitcoin will outperform to the same regions. https://t.co/FiPMD3k8q1An enormous bounce on the Nasdaq and therefore a massive weekly candle, just as $KOSPI has bounced upwards. I repeat, the last time this happened, #Bitcoin rallied to $83,000. I would expect to see a strong start of August coming week for #Bitcoin as a response to the current strength in risk-on assets.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “I would expect to see a strong start of August coming week for #Bitcoin”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- needs review · Unsupported horizon: "coming week"
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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