Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 31 Jul 2026, 16:37 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
K A L E O
@CryptoKaleo
In reply to · 31 Jul 2026, 16:34 UTC · context given to the AI
#Ethereum / ethereum:native Don't see us making the next leg down on a Friday afternoon. Expect a bit more chop over the next few weeks before we rip the Band-Aid off and wick down to ~$1,100. You can countertrade me on Kalshi perps➡️ https://t.co/9ErXzCF3hy https://t.co/ZU9QrwowTFfwiw - I still think sometime in September we make a real bottom for the bear market and run it back from there important to have some dry capital ready to deployView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “I still think sometime in September we make a real bottom for the bear market and run it back from there”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- needs review · Unsupported horizon: "September"
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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