Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 31 Jul 2026, 14:02 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:31 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
Quoting · 31 Jul 2026, 12:57 UTC · context given to the AI
Bitcoin Is Up 10% From $58K Lows! Is The Bottom Actually In? https://t.co/ri1r83sjbLBOTTOM SIGNAL: Bitcoin's longest historical "FEAR" stretch “When you zoom out on the one-year trend, this was the longest period we’ve ever spent in fear and extreme fear in history” “Are people usually right when they’re extremely fearful? Is that a top signal or a bottom signal? Of course it’s a bottom signal, and we still remain in fear to this day” “Historically, long extended periods of extreme fear are bottom signals, not top signals”View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Historically, long extended periods of extreme fear are bottom signals, not top signals”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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