Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 29 Jul 2026, 23:10 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:17 UTC
Altcoin Daily
@AltcoinDaily
OMG... The Fed is about to BLOW UP Crypto!? 2:17 - South Korea market COLLAPSE 3:37 - Why you should be BULLISH! 4:10 - Why wasn’t Bitcoin included? 6:51 - Clarity Act dying? 8:02 - Why be BULLISH! (pt2) 10:21 - Ethereum vs Bitcoin WATCH 👇View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,896 at 30 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,722 at 31 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC.
r = 64721.9 / 63896.14 − 1 = +1.29%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +1.29%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Why you should be BULLISH!”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $63,896
- Evaluation price
- $64,722
- Move
- +1.29%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0