Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 29 Jul 2026, 16:59 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:17 UTC
Altcoin Daily
@AltcoinDaily
Morgan Stanley launches the cheapest ETH and SOL ETFs passing 100% of staking rewards directly to investors... and you're bearish on crypto?View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,893 at 29 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,917 at 30 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 1917.4 / 1892.73 − 1 = +1.30%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +1.30%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Morgan Stanley launches the cheapest ETH and SOL ETFs passing 100% of staking rewards directly to investors”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $1,893
- Evaluation price
- $1,917
- Move
- +1.30%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0