Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 29 Jul 2026, 10:15 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
The markets look like they want to continue to rally and $ETH is the strongest force for that. I'd preferably see it hold above $1,800. If that's the case, then it's a matter of time until we're going to see numbers that are north of $2,000. https://t.co/PKKKkQwDTnView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,910 at 29 Jul 2026, 11:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,916 at 30 Jul 2026, 11:00 UTC.
r = 1915.74 / 1910.09 − 1 = +0.30%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +0.30%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “it's a matter of time until we're going to see numbers that are north of $2,000.”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $1,910
- Evaluation price
- $1,916
- Move
- +0.30%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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